Interpreting Probability
Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century
Creator  
Publisher 
20020808

ISBN  9780521812511, 0521812518,

Language 
English

Category  
Subject  Bayesian statistical decision theory. Bayesian statistical decision theory.  fast  (OCoLC)fst00829019 MATHEMATICS  Probability & Statistics  Bayesian Analysis.  bisacsh Probabilities. Probabilities.  fast  (OCoLC)fst01077737 
Description
This book is a study of the concept of probability as it has been used and applied across a number of scientific disciplines from genetics to geophysics. Probability has a dual aspect: sometimes it is a numerical ratio; sometimes, in the Bayesian interpretation, a degree of belief. David Howie examines probabilistic theories of scientific knowledge, and asks how, despite being adopted by many scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through a close examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations of probability is not forced by pure logic, or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved, and their views of the correct form of scientific inquiry.